Historical and current spatial modeling of the sacred fir (Abies religiosa [Kunth] Schltdl. & Cham.) in the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt

Introduction: Climatic conditions in the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt during the middle Holocene were different from today’s conditions, which may have an effect on the historical distribution areas of the sacred fir (Abies religiosa [Kunth] Schltdl. & Cham.). Objective: To determine whether the...

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Autores principales: Manzanilla Quiñones, Ulises, Martínez Adriano, Cristian Adrián, Aguirre Calderón, Oscar Alberto
Formato: Artículo
Lenguaje:inglés
Publicado: Universidad Autónoma de Chapingo 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:http://eprints.uanl.mx/27335/1/241.pdf
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author Manzanilla Quiñones, Ulises
Martínez Adriano, Cristian Adrián
Aguirre Calderón, Oscar Alberto
author_facet Manzanilla Quiñones, Ulises
Martínez Adriano, Cristian Adrián
Aguirre Calderón, Oscar Alberto
author_sort Manzanilla Quiñones, Ulises
collection Repositorio Institucional
description Introduction: Climatic conditions in the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt during the middle Holocene were different from today’s conditions, which may have an effect on the historical distribution areas of the sacred fir (Abies religiosa [Kunth] Schltdl. & Cham.). Objective: To determine whether the environmental requirements that delimit the current distribution of the sacred fir in the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt have changed since 6,000 years ago. Materials and methods: A. religiosa records were obtained from the Niche Toolbox platform. The WorldClim version 2.0 variables for the current (1970-2000) and middle Holocene (CNRMCM5 and MIROC_ESM models) periods were downloaded. The distribution models were generated in MaxEnt using 75 % of the data for training and 25 % for validation. The most important variables of each period were determined with the Jackknife test. Results and discussion: The estimated sacred fir areas were similar in both periods. Approximately 86.5 % of the sacred fir potential distribution is found in protected natural areas of the zone. The limiting environmental variables of its distribution are: elevation, annual precipitation, summer precipitation, annual mean temperature and diurnal temperature oscillation. Nevado de Toluca and Mexico City had larger sacred fir areas (+2 658.4 ha and +20129.7 ha, respectively) during the Middle Holocene. Annual precipitation was 80 to 224 mm higher than the current level and the temperature was 1 °C colder. Conclusion: The most important environmental variables for sacred fir distribution are similar to those reported in the literature, indicating similarity between the current and historical ecological niche of A. religiosa
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spelling eprints-273352024-12-10T16:27:25Z http://eprints.uanl.mx/27335/ Historical and current spatial modeling of the sacred fir (Abies religiosa [Kunth] Schltdl. & Cham.) in the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt Manzanilla Quiñones, Ulises Martínez Adriano, Cristian Adrián Aguirre Calderón, Oscar Alberto SD Ciencia forestal Introduction: Climatic conditions in the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt during the middle Holocene were different from today’s conditions, which may have an effect on the historical distribution areas of the sacred fir (Abies religiosa [Kunth] Schltdl. & Cham.). Objective: To determine whether the environmental requirements that delimit the current distribution of the sacred fir in the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt have changed since 6,000 years ago. Materials and methods: A. religiosa records were obtained from the Niche Toolbox platform. The WorldClim version 2.0 variables for the current (1970-2000) and middle Holocene (CNRMCM5 and MIROC_ESM models) periods were downloaded. The distribution models were generated in MaxEnt using 75 % of the data for training and 25 % for validation. The most important variables of each period were determined with the Jackknife test. Results and discussion: The estimated sacred fir areas were similar in both periods. Approximately 86.5 % of the sacred fir potential distribution is found in protected natural areas of the zone. The limiting environmental variables of its distribution are: elevation, annual precipitation, summer precipitation, annual mean temperature and diurnal temperature oscillation. Nevado de Toluca and Mexico City had larger sacred fir areas (+2 658.4 ha and +20129.7 ha, respectively) during the Middle Holocene. Annual precipitation was 80 to 224 mm higher than the current level and the temperature was 1 °C colder. Conclusion: The most important environmental variables for sacred fir distribution are similar to those reported in the literature, indicating similarity between the current and historical ecological niche of A. religiosa Universidad Autónoma de Chapingo 2019 Article PeerReviewed text en cc_by_nc_nd http://eprints.uanl.mx/27335/1/241.pdf http://eprints.uanl.mx Manzanilla Quiñones, Ulises y Martínez Adriano, Cristian Adrián y Aguirre Calderón, Oscar Alberto (2019) Historical and current spatial modeling of the sacred fir (Abies religiosa [Kunth] Schltdl. & Cham.) in the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt. Revista Chapingo Serie Ciencias Forestales y del Ambiente, 25 (2). pp. 201-217. ISSN 2007-3828 http://doi.org/10.5154/r.rchscfa.2018.10.076 doi:10.5154/r.rchscfa.2018.10.076
spellingShingle SD Ciencia forestal
Manzanilla Quiñones, Ulises
Martínez Adriano, Cristian Adrián
Aguirre Calderón, Oscar Alberto
Historical and current spatial modeling of the sacred fir (Abies religiosa [Kunth] Schltdl. & Cham.) in the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt
thumbnail https://rediab.uanl.mx/themes/sandal5/images/online.png
title Historical and current spatial modeling of the sacred fir (Abies religiosa [Kunth] Schltdl. & Cham.) in the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt
title_full Historical and current spatial modeling of the sacred fir (Abies religiosa [Kunth] Schltdl. & Cham.) in the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt
title_fullStr Historical and current spatial modeling of the sacred fir (Abies religiosa [Kunth] Schltdl. & Cham.) in the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt
title_full_unstemmed Historical and current spatial modeling of the sacred fir (Abies religiosa [Kunth] Schltdl. & Cham.) in the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt
title_short Historical and current spatial modeling of the sacred fir (Abies religiosa [Kunth] Schltdl. & Cham.) in the Trans-Mexican Volcanic Belt
title_sort historical and current spatial modeling of the sacred fir abies religiosa kunth schltdl cham in the trans mexican volcanic belt
topic SD Ciencia forestal
url http://eprints.uanl.mx/27335/1/241.pdf
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