Environmental suitability for Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus and the spatial distribution of major arboviral infections in Mexico
Background: This paper discusses a comparative geographic distribution of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus mosquitoes in Mexico, using environmental suitability modeling and reported cases of arboviral infections. Methods: Using presence-only records, we modeled mosquito niches to show how much t...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2019
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| Online Access: | http://eprints.uanl.mx/20229/1/1-s2.0-S2405673119300790-main.pdf |
| _version_ | 1824415783713767424 |
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| author | Lubinda, Jailos Treviño C., Jesús A. Walsh, Mallory Rose Moore, Adrian J. Hanafi Bojd, Ahmad Ali Akgun, Seval Zhao, Bingxin Barro, Alassane S. Begum, Mst Marium Jamal, Hera Angulo Molina, Aracely Haque, Ubydul |
| author_facet | Lubinda, Jailos Treviño C., Jesús A. Walsh, Mallory Rose Moore, Adrian J. Hanafi Bojd, Ahmad Ali Akgun, Seval Zhao, Bingxin Barro, Alassane S. Begum, Mst Marium Jamal, Hera Angulo Molina, Aracely Haque, Ubydul |
| author_sort | Lubinda, Jailos |
| collection | Repositorio Institucional |
| description | Background: This paper discusses a comparative geographic distribution of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus mosquitoes in Mexico, using environmental suitability modeling and reported cases of arboviral infections.
Methods: Using presence-only records, we modeled mosquito niches to show how much they influenced the distribution of Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus based on mosquito records collected at the municipality level. Mosquito surveillance data were used to create models regarding the predicted suitability of Ae. albopictus and Ae. aegypti mosquitos in Mexico.
Results: Ae. albopictus had relatively a better predictive performance (area under the curve, AUC = 0.87) to selected bioclimatic variables compared to Ae. aegypti (AUC = 0.81). Ae. aegypti were more suitable for areas with minimum temperature of coldest month (Bio6, permutation importance 28.7%) −6 °C to 21.5 °C, cumulative winter growing degree days (GDD) between 40 and 500, and precipitation of wettest month (Bio13) N8.4 mm. Minimum temperature range of the coldest month (Bio6) was −6.6 °C to 20.5 °C, and average precipitation of
the wettest month (Bio13) 8.9 mm ~ 600 mm were more suitable for the existence of Ae. albopictus. However, arboviral infections maps prepared from the 2012–2016 surveillance data showed cases were reported far beyond predicted municipalities.
Conclusions: This study identified the urgent necessity to start surveillance in 925 additional
municipalities that reported arbovirus infections but did not report Aedes mosquito. |
| format | Article |
| id | eprints-20229 |
| institution | UANL |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2019 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | eprints |
| spelling | eprints-202292020-11-19T17:20:55Z http://eprints.uanl.mx/20229/ Environmental suitability for Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus and the spatial distribution of major arboviral infections in Mexico Lubinda, Jailos Treviño C., Jesús A. Walsh, Mallory Rose Moore, Adrian J. Hanafi Bojd, Ahmad Ali Akgun, Seval Zhao, Bingxin Barro, Alassane S. Begum, Mst Marium Jamal, Hera Angulo Molina, Aracely Haque, Ubydul RA Aspectos Públicos de la Medicina Background: This paper discusses a comparative geographic distribution of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus mosquitoes in Mexico, using environmental suitability modeling and reported cases of arboviral infections. Methods: Using presence-only records, we modeled mosquito niches to show how much they influenced the distribution of Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus based on mosquito records collected at the municipality level. Mosquito surveillance data were used to create models regarding the predicted suitability of Ae. albopictus and Ae. aegypti mosquitos in Mexico. Results: Ae. albopictus had relatively a better predictive performance (area under the curve, AUC = 0.87) to selected bioclimatic variables compared to Ae. aegypti (AUC = 0.81). Ae. aegypti were more suitable for areas with minimum temperature of coldest month (Bio6, permutation importance 28.7%) −6 °C to 21.5 °C, cumulative winter growing degree days (GDD) between 40 and 500, and precipitation of wettest month (Bio13) N8.4 mm. Minimum temperature range of the coldest month (Bio6) was −6.6 °C to 20.5 °C, and average precipitation of the wettest month (Bio13) 8.9 mm ~ 600 mm were more suitable for the existence of Ae. albopictus. However, arboviral infections maps prepared from the 2012–2016 surveillance data showed cases were reported far beyond predicted municipalities. Conclusions: This study identified the urgent necessity to start surveillance in 925 additional municipalities that reported arbovirus infections but did not report Aedes mosquito. Elsevier 2019 Article PeerReviewed text en cc_by_nc_nd http://eprints.uanl.mx/20229/1/1-s2.0-S2405673119300790-main.pdf http://eprints.uanl.mx/20229/1.haspreviewThumbnailVersion/1-s2.0-S2405673119300790-main.pdf Lubinda, Jailos y Treviño C., Jesús A. y Walsh, Mallory Rose y Moore, Adrian J. y Hanafi Bojd, Ahmad Ali y Akgun, Seval y Zhao, Bingxin y Barro, Alassane S. y Begum, Mst Marium y Jamal, Hera y Angulo Molina, Aracely y Haque, Ubydul (2019) Environmental suitability for Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus and the spatial distribution of major arboviral infections in Mexico. Parasite Epidemiology and Control, 6. e00116. ISSN 24056731 http://doi.org/10.1016/j.parepi.2019.e00116 doi:10.1016/j.parepi.2019.e00116 |
| spellingShingle | RA Aspectos Públicos de la Medicina Lubinda, Jailos Treviño C., Jesús A. Walsh, Mallory Rose Moore, Adrian J. Hanafi Bojd, Ahmad Ali Akgun, Seval Zhao, Bingxin Barro, Alassane S. Begum, Mst Marium Jamal, Hera Angulo Molina, Aracely Haque, Ubydul Environmental suitability for Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus and the spatial distribution of major arboviral infections in Mexico |
| thumbnail | https://rediab.uanl.mx/themes/sandal5/images/online.png |
| title | Environmental suitability for Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus and the spatial distribution of major arboviral infections in Mexico |
| title_full | Environmental suitability for Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus and the spatial distribution of major arboviral infections in Mexico |
| title_fullStr | Environmental suitability for Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus and the spatial distribution of major arboviral infections in Mexico |
| title_full_unstemmed | Environmental suitability for Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus and the spatial distribution of major arboviral infections in Mexico |
| title_short | Environmental suitability for Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus and the spatial distribution of major arboviral infections in Mexico |
| title_sort | environmental suitability for aedes aegypti and aedes albopictus and the spatial distribution of major arboviral infections in mexico |
| topic | RA Aspectos Públicos de la Medicina |
| url | http://eprints.uanl.mx/20229/1/1-s2.0-S2405673119300790-main.pdf |
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