Varianza condicional de medias móviles no-lineales

We present a new heteroskedastic conditional variance model using Non-Linear Moving Average as the basis for this specification []. The typical problem of this class of models-i.e., non-invertibility—is solved by means of an intuitive parametric restriction; this allows us to use Maximum Likelihood...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Ventosa Santaulària, Daniel, Mendoza Velázquez, Alfonso, Gómez Zaldívar, Manuel
Formato: Artículo
Lenguaje:español
Publicado: Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León 2008
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://ensayos.uanl.mx/index.php/ensayos/article/view/99
_version_ 1824325149409673216
author Ventosa Santaulària, Daniel
Mendoza Velázquez, Alfonso
Gómez Zaldívar, Manuel
author_facet Ventosa Santaulària, Daniel
Mendoza Velázquez, Alfonso
Gómez Zaldívar, Manuel
author_sort Ventosa Santaulària, Daniel
collection Artículos de Revistas UANL
description We present a new heteroskedastic conditional variance model using Non-Linear Moving Average as the basis for this specification []. The typical problem of this class of models-i.e., non-invertibility—is solved by means of an intuitive parametric restriction; this allows us to use Maximum Likelihood as the estimation procedure. The statistical properties of the new model are both simple and attractive for empirical purposes in finance: a natural fat-tailed distribution stands out. The Autocorrelation Function of the squared process allows us for identification of the number of lags to be included in the new specification. In addition, we present several Monte Carlo experiments where the properties of the model using finite samples are exhibited. Finally, an empirical application using exchange rates and capital market bonds is shown. ()NLMACHq
first_indexed 2025-02-05T19:56:06Z
format Article
id ensayos-article-99
institution UANL
language spa
last_indexed 2025-02-05T19:56:06Z
physical Ensayos Revista de Economía; Vol. 27 No. 2 (2008): NOVEMBER 2008; 29-48
Ensayos Revista de Economía; Vol. 27 Núm. 2 (2008): NOVIEMBRE 2008; 29-48
2448-8402
1870-221X
publishDate 2008
publisher Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León
record_format ojs
spelling ensayos-article-992023-12-11T11:07:59Z Varianza condicional de medias móviles no-lineales Ventosa Santaulària, Daniel Mendoza Velázquez, Alfonso Gómez Zaldívar, Manuel Conditionally Heteroskedastic Models Volatility Fat-tailed Distributions. We present a new heteroskedastic conditional variance model using Non-Linear Moving Average as the basis for this specification []. The typical problem of this class of models-i.e., non-invertibility—is solved by means of an intuitive parametric restriction; this allows us to use Maximum Likelihood as the estimation procedure. The statistical properties of the new model are both simple and attractive for empirical purposes in finance: a natural fat-tailed distribution stands out. The Autocorrelation Function of the squared process allows us for identification of the number of lags to be included in the new specification. In addition, we present several Monte Carlo experiments where the properties of the model using finite samples are exhibited. Finally, an empirical application using exchange rates and capital market bonds is shown. ()NLMACHq Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León 2008-11-01 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article Artículo arbitrado por pares application/pdf https://ensayos.uanl.mx/index.php/ensayos/article/view/99 10.29105/ensayos27.2-2 Ensayos Revista de Economía; Vol. 27 No. 2 (2008): NOVEMBER 2008; 29-48 Ensayos Revista de Economía; Vol. 27 Núm. 2 (2008): NOVIEMBRE 2008; 29-48 2448-8402 1870-221X spa https://ensayos.uanl.mx/index.php/ensayos/article/view/99/84 Derechos de autor 2008 Daniel Ventosa Santaulària, Alfonso Mendoza Velázquez, Manuel Gómez Zaldívar https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
spellingShingle Conditionally Heteroskedastic Models
Volatility
Fat-tailed Distributions.
Ventosa Santaulària, Daniel
Mendoza Velázquez, Alfonso
Gómez Zaldívar, Manuel
Varianza condicional de medias móviles no-lineales
thumbnail https://rediab.uanl.mx/themes/sandal5/images/article.gif
title Varianza condicional de medias móviles no-lineales
title_full Varianza condicional de medias móviles no-lineales
title_fullStr Varianza condicional de medias móviles no-lineales
title_full_unstemmed Varianza condicional de medias móviles no-lineales
title_short Varianza condicional de medias móviles no-lineales
title_sort varianza condicional de medias moviles no lineales
topic Conditionally Heteroskedastic Models
Volatility
Fat-tailed Distributions.
topic_facet Conditionally Heteroskedastic Models
Volatility
Fat-tailed Distributions.
url https://ensayos.uanl.mx/index.php/ensayos/article/view/99
work_keys_str_mv AT ventosasantaulariadaniel varianzacondicionaldemediasmovilesnolineales
AT mendozavelazquezalfonso varianzacondicionaldemediasmovilesnolineales
AT gomezzaldivarmanuel varianzacondicionaldemediasmovilesnolineales